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Modelling the macro-economic effects of protectionist tariffs on American economic fragility

Research2026-02-05Timothy Chummar, Aadyant Harnwal, Saathvik Valvekar, Stavros Iliadis, Anirudh Venkatesan, Ayushmaan Mukherjee, Shreshtha Aggarwal, Stamatis Pontikas, Chioma Okoro, Stanley Zhou

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The paper analyzes how American tariff policy affects fiscal and macroeconomic fragility using two constructed indices, comparing short-run debt dynamics with broader open-economy transmission mechanisms.

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